In a new piece for Project Syndicate, Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan argues that bond markets are signaling a new global inflationary era defined by frequent supply shocks that traditional central bank policy is ill-equipped to navigate.
In the News
The Wake Weekly
Don’t expect cheap gas anytime soon (written by Jeff Colgan)
Jeffrey Colgan wrote in Wake Weekly about the economic costs of the war in Iran.
In a recent NBC News article, Craig Spencer discussed the need for urgent international action as the Ebola outbreak could become the deadliest on record.
Lyle Goldstein writes in Asia Times that the U.S. military campaign against Iran raises broader questions about America’s ability to deter or prevail in a potential conflict with China over Taiwan.
A recent Financial Times article cited the Costs of War project's estimate that the total budgetary costs and future obligations of the post-9/11 wars, including $2.2 trillion in future veterans' care costs, totaled about $8 trillion in 2021 dollars.
Craig Spencer wrote in The New York Times that cuts to U.S. global health infrastructure have weakened the world’s ability to respond to the growing Ebola outbreak in Central Africa.
A recent CNN article cited research on energy costs from the Climate Solutions Lab.
A recent News Break article cites research on energy costs from the Climate Solutions Lab .
Ashutosh Varshney wrote in The Print that India risks moving toward “competitive authoritarianism” as electoral practices increasingly tilt the political system in favor of ruling parties.
Lyle Goldstein co-authored a Time article arguing that President Donald Trump’s recent meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping helped stabilize U.S.-China relations and reduce the risk of escalating conflict.
Craig Spencer was interviewed on PBS NewsHour about the Ebola outbreak in Congo and Uganda and his experience surviving Ebola.
Craig Spencer discussed the challenges doctors are facing during the Ebola outbreak in Africa in an interview with NPR after the World Health Organization declared the outbreak a global health emergency.
In a C-SPAN discussion with fellow authors, Marc Dunkelman discussed his book, "Why Nothing Works," and addressed current and historic threats to democracy in America.
Lyle Goldstein told the South China Morning Post that China’s emphasis on Taiwan as a core national interest is longstanding, while both Beijing and Washington play roles in maintaining regional stability.
Stephen Kinzer wrote in The Boston Globe that former Presidents Richard Nixon, Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush managed relations with Russia and China more effectively than recent U.S. presidents, helping avoid greater global conflict.
In an interview with NPR, Mark Blyth discussed the challenges facing the new chair of the Federal Reserve.
Jeff Colgan wrote an opinion piece for The New York Times about the costs of the war in Iran.
Lyle Goldstein told the South China Morning Post that the Iran conflict is likely to dominate the Trump–Xi summit agenda, saying President Donald Trump is focused on it because he wants it “off his desk.”
Craig Spencer discussed the strengths and weaknesses of the U.S. response to the cruise ship hantavirus outbreak in an opinion piece for STAT News.
Lyle Goldstein discussed the upcoming U.S.-China summit in an interview with NPR, offering analysis on the state of relations between the two countries.
In an interview with Newsweek, Lyle Goldstein said tensions over Taiwan remain “extremely dangerous” as China’s military buildup shifts the balance of power in the region.
In an interview with The Wall Street Journal, Lyle Goldstein said China has strengthened its military dominance in its near periphery and expanded its nuclear capabilities despite U.S. alliances in the Pacific.
Lyle Goldstein told The Hill that China is closely watching U.S. military actions in the Persian Gulf while balancing its economic interest in keeping regional trade routes open.
In The Cool Down, Christopher Rea argues that conservation dollars should not be tied to firearm sales.
In an interview with NPR, Lyle Goldstein said Trump's threatening rhetoric has bolstered Iranian unity and warned that his unpredictable negotiating style could undermine delicate nuclear talks.
In an interview with Ocean State Media, Stephanie Savell discussed the war in Iran, its effects on average Americans and the influence of defense contractors on U.S. military decisions.
In The Print, Ashutosh Varshney argues that India's recent state elections reveal both the vitality of Indian democracy and the BJP's systematic efforts to narrow the electoral field through voter suppression and Hindu nationalist politics.
South China Morning Post
Iran war could give Xi the upper hand in meeting with Trump: US experts (comments by Lyle Goldstein)
In the South China Morning Post, Lyle Goldstein weighs in on how the Iran war could shift the balance of power in the upcoming Trump-Xi summit.
Stephen Kinzer argues in the Boston Globe that the rise of cheap drone technology has fundamentally shifted modern warfare, allowing weaker nations to resist military superpowers and signaling the decline of traditional American military dominance.
Jeff Colgan told Deutsche Welle that the UAE's departure from OPEC is unlikely to significantly impact global oil prices in the short term, as disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz remain the dominant factor in the global oil market.
Christopher Rea told Vox that funding wildlife conservation through firearm sales is "really problematic," arguing that conservation should not be financed by what he considers tools of violence.
Stephanie Savell tells the New York Times that the true costs of the war in Iran extend far beyond the Pentagon's $25 billion estimate.
In an interview on the Ezra Klein Show, Marc Dunkelman discussed the abundance movement.
Jeff Colgan told the New York Times OPEC proved effective at raising oil prices in the 1970s but has struggled to control markets consistently, wielding leverage only when demand outpaces supply.
Mark Blyth told Bloomberg that climate change and inflation are closely linked.
Marc Dunkelman's book "Why Nothing Works" was cited in The Seattle Times.
Mark Blyth appeared on Slate's Decoder Ring podcast to discuss the history and global mechanics of the U.S. dollar.
Responsible Statecraft
War has significantly altered major Trump meeting with Xi (written by Lyle Goldstein)
Lyle Goldstein wrote in Responsible Statecraft that the U.S.-Iran war could complicate U.S.-China relations but also create an opportunity for cooperation to stabilize the global economy and reduce tensions.
Lyle Goldstein writes in Asia Times that Taiwan's opposition-led outreach to Beijing signals a diplomatic path to easing cross-strait tensions and reducing the risk of U.S.-China conflict.
Reid Pauly told El Mercurio that the most viable path to preventing Iran from developing a nuclear weapon would be a deal allowing limited, strictly monitored enrichment, with verification as the cornerstone of any lasting agreement.
Ashutosh Varshney wrote in The Print that the defeat of India’s constitutional amendment bill protected federal balance by preventing a shift in parliamentary power that could have disadvantaged southern states and destabilized national unity.
Jeff Colgan told WPRI that the Climate Solutions Lab found the war in Iran has driven up U.S. fuel costs by $24 billion since late February, costing the average U.S. household $183.
Jeff Colgan comments for CBS News, "Whether it's from Amazon or from a grocery store, everything gets touched by diesel prices because diesel is the fuel by which all of the goods in our economy really get shipped around."
Omer Bartov said in an interview with The New Yorker that Zionism as a state ideology has shaped Israel’s actions in Gaza
Jeff Colgan told Mother Jones that the U.S. blockade of Iran presents a lose-lose scenario, driving higher global energy prices and increasing costs for American consumers.
Lyle Goldstein told the Washington Examiner that China views the Iran war as economically and diplomatically disruptive but remains insulated enough to avoid deeper involvement.
Lyle Goldstein argues in RealClearWorld that the U.S. and China should pursue a fourth communiqué to reduce tensions and avoid conflict over Taiwan.
Reid Pauly comments for BBC News, "It's tragically ironic that one of the justifications for the war was to prevent Iran from obtaining the bomb."