In Asia Times, Lyle Goldstein warns that America’s growing semiconductor ties to Taiwan could draw the U.S. into a dangerous conflict with China.
Global Economics & Security
Research that connects economic analysis, political dynamics and security questions to better understand global change.
Global Economics & Security
Research that connects economic analysis, political dynamics and security questions to better understand global change.
Recent News & Research
Mark Blyth: ‘I call it the barbell from hell’ (interview with Mark Blyth)
Mark Blyth tells the Financial Times that AI’s payoff depends on eliminating high-paying jobs, which he says could spark a fiscal crisis, mass unemployment or both.
Australians wrestle with plans for second nuclear submarine base Down Under (comments by Lyle Goldstein)
Lyle Goldstein tells Stars and Stripes that expanding U.S. basing options in Australia would strengthen defense and deterrence against China.
CNN cites Climate Solutions Lab research finding that high gas and diesel prices have added about $1,150 in costs for the average U.S. household since the Iran war began, in its analysis of how the economy shaped the midterm elections.
What a US Nuclear Strike on Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain Could Look Like (comments by Reid Pauly)
Reid Pauly tells Newsweek that using a nuclear weapon against Iran would be “catastrophically stupid” and could spur other countries to seek their own.
Beijing doubles down on Type 071 amphibious warships, signalling a Taiwan focus (comments Lyle Goldstein)
Lyle Goldstein tells the South China Morning Post that China’s renewed construction of Type 071 amphibious warships could strengthen its ability to pressure Taiwan, either in a possible assault or as part of an effort to “win without fighting.”
Boiling Point: How America Brought War to Ukraine
In his new book, Stephen Kinzer uncovers decades of CIA operations in Ukraine and the long rivalry with Moscow that preceded the 2022 Russian invasion.
Today's Inflation Lacks 2021's Force (interview with Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan)
Şebnem Kalemli-Özcan tells Bloomberg TV that despite ongoing tariff and energy pressures, stronger supply conditions keep today’s inflation from reaching pandemic-era levels.
China-Russia defense ties move upstream as Beijing gains Russian know-how (comments by Lyle Goldstein)
In VOA News, Lyle Goldstein says China-Russia military cooperation will likely expand into areas like drone warfare and air defense, and he doubts sanctions can make much difference now.
America Should Play Peacemaker in Ukraine (written by Lyle Goldstein)
Lyle Goldstein writes in RealClearWorld that rising inflation and ongoing bloodshed show America should act as a peacemaker in Ukraine, not only in the Persian Gulf.
What Beijing’s 2-to-1 shipbuilding lead means for the US in war over Taiwan (comments by Lyle Goldstein)
Lyle Goldstein tells the South China Morning Post that China’s growing shipbuilding lead would give it a strong advantage in a conflict near Taiwan.
In the Middle East, a shocking attack on an American ally (written by Stephen Kinzer)
Stephen Kinzer writes in The Boston Globe that Saudi Arabia faces its greatest threat since its founding after Houthi missile strikes, while President Trump appears unwilling to defend a longtime U.S. ally.
